The emerald isle
With British exit from the European Union looming the united kingdom faces the most perilous time in its history since world war 2. This peril could drag northern Ireland, Scotland along with every other island connected to great Britain into a war with the European Union.
It seems more and more that British Parliament will not be able to agree on a decisive way to leave the European Union. ultimately leading to a hard exit. which means tariffs, trade confusion and a hard border in northern Ireland. Which I am almost certain would conjure up the ire of the IRA in southern Ireland as their dreams of a unified Ireland will be destroyed.
My theory is great Britain will economically retract focusing on the homeland. This will leave it’s satellite states like Scotland and northern Ireland in desperate need of everything from medical care, food, and other important things needed to maintain their infrastructure. The disaster comes when these countries decide to reach out to other countries in the name of trade, but are blocked because of their treatise with the united kingdom. Unable to endure the austerity measures northern Ireland will attempt to break away as will Scotland, but to maintain the status quo the united kingdom will invade southern Ireland to stop the re-emergence of the IRA which will cause the European Union to declare war against the united kingdom.
Which is why Trump visited Dublin as his first trip overseas and I believe why pence has been staying at Trumps hotel. He wanted to give the leaders a heads up. The emerald isle has always been the desire of Britain. Now it sits in the middle of a coming conflict. Reminiscent of Palestine and Israel Ireland has no escape if an invasion occurs. As the only land border between the European union and the united kingdom Ireland becomes ground zero for conflict. if conflict arises will great Britain invade?
THE OTHER SIDE..
British Parliament could call a new vote to stay in the European Union. As we are seeing the Conservatives leaving Parliament or switching sides. A British vote to stay puts the UK in a powerless position because the EU will recognize the need for the UK to remain in the EU. Which will allow the EU to have a greater leverage over the UK. it is a lose lose situation for the UK. If brexit must happen it would be best if it is a strategically diplomatic split with surgical precision. My biggest concern is if the UK decides to stay they create a greater threat in the region. An unwelcome Democratic threat to the new advancement of communist Russia. My feeling is Russia will attack causing chaos in Europe.